Another Moderate Risk
8:58pm 3/30 UPDATE:
This is just too sad:
"...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR SEDALIA AND LOCATIONS EAST AND NORTHEAST...AT 841 PM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO IN THEWALNUT HILL SUBDIVISION OF SEDALIA. THIS TORNADO WAS PRODUCINGDAMAGE AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH."
8:28pm 3/30 UPDATE:
Tornado warning in effect for Pettis County, Missouri. Confirmed funnel cloud headed straight for Sedalia, wich was hard hit on 3/12. This is sad.
4:32pm 3/30 UPDATE:
The warm sector ahead of the dryline in Oklahoma has cleared out and cleaned up significantly. The last Area Forecast Discussion out of the Tulsa, Oklahoma, National Weather Service office expresses great concern about redevelopment of supercells with strong, long-tracked tornadoes. I completely concur. An F4 and/or a couple F3s would not surprise me this evening. It looks to be getting dangerous.
On another note, there are reports that a tornado has struck Omaha, Nebraska. I will provide more details here as they become available.
2:39pm 3/30 UPDATE:
Several tornado warnings continue across Kansas and Nebraska, with several confirmed reports of tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center has just issued a third Particularly Dangerous Situation tornado watch for eastern Nebraska, southwestern Iowa, and western Missouri. I expect more supercells to develop this afternoon, with the probability of several strong/violent tornadoes. Stay safe folks!
12:01pm 3/30 UPDATE:
Thunderstorms are blowing up along the dryline in Kansas and Oklahoma. Extreme low-level helicities of up to 500 m**2 s**-2 suggest the possibility of long-tracked strong/violent tornadoes with any/all discrete supercells. Two Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watches have been issued over this area.
It should be noted that the moderate risk area is not correct on the outlook. It should encompass the area of the 45% wind threat (all the way to western Illinois).
ORIGINAL POST:
Mother nature continues to crank out the severe weather events this year, with yet another moderate risk designation, this one for tomorrow (actually, today right about now).
SPC Day 1 Outlook (time sensitive)
Personally, I would be very concerned from southwest Missouri to southeast Oklahoma. This is where the best combination of wind shear (extreme in the low levels) and instability will be. I would not be surprised if a very strong or even a violent tornado were to occur in this area. I will hopefully provide updates throughout the day.
This is just too sad:
"...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR SEDALIA AND LOCATIONS EAST AND NORTHEAST...AT 841 PM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO IN THEWALNUT HILL SUBDIVISION OF SEDALIA. THIS TORNADO WAS PRODUCINGDAMAGE AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH."
8:28pm 3/30 UPDATE:
Tornado warning in effect for Pettis County, Missouri. Confirmed funnel cloud headed straight for Sedalia, wich was hard hit on 3/12. This is sad.
4:32pm 3/30 UPDATE:
The warm sector ahead of the dryline in Oklahoma has cleared out and cleaned up significantly. The last Area Forecast Discussion out of the Tulsa, Oklahoma, National Weather Service office expresses great concern about redevelopment of supercells with strong, long-tracked tornadoes. I completely concur. An F4 and/or a couple F3s would not surprise me this evening. It looks to be getting dangerous.
On another note, there are reports that a tornado has struck Omaha, Nebraska. I will provide more details here as they become available.
2:39pm 3/30 UPDATE:
Several tornado warnings continue across Kansas and Nebraska, with several confirmed reports of tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center has just issued a third Particularly Dangerous Situation tornado watch for eastern Nebraska, southwestern Iowa, and western Missouri. I expect more supercells to develop this afternoon, with the probability of several strong/violent tornadoes. Stay safe folks!
12:01pm 3/30 UPDATE:
Thunderstorms are blowing up along the dryline in Kansas and Oklahoma. Extreme low-level helicities of up to 500 m**2 s**-2 suggest the possibility of long-tracked strong/violent tornadoes with any/all discrete supercells. Two Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watches have been issued over this area.
It should be noted that the moderate risk area is not correct on the outlook. It should encompass the area of the 45% wind threat (all the way to western Illinois).
ORIGINAL POST:
Mother nature continues to crank out the severe weather events this year, with yet another moderate risk designation, this one for tomorrow (actually, today right about now).
SPC Day 1 Outlook (time sensitive)
Personally, I would be very concerned from southwest Missouri to southeast Oklahoma. This is where the best combination of wind shear (extreme in the low levels) and instability will be. I would not be surprised if a very strong or even a violent tornado were to occur in this area. I will hopefully provide updates throughout the day.
posted by Tony Lyza at 11:56 PM
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